Angel Oak Mortgage Stock Performance

AOMR Stock  USD 8.29  0.05  0.60%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.8, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Angel Oak's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Angel Oak is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Angel Oak Mortgage has a negative expected return of -0.0234%. Please make sure to confirm Angel Oak's value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and skewness , to decide if Angel Oak Mortgage performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Angel Oak Mortgage has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable primary indicators, Angel Oak is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.24
Five Day Return
(8.55)
Year To Date Return
(2.91)
Ten Year Return
(55.28)
All Time Return
(55.28)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.1538
Payout Ratio
0.9433
Forward Dividend Rate
1.28
Dividend Date
2026-02-27
Ex Dividend Date
2026-02-20
 
Angel Oak dividend paid on 26th of November 2025
11/26/2025
1
Disposition of 3107560 shares by Vpip Ao Mf Llc of Angel Oak subject to Rule 16b-3
12/01/2025
2
What analyst consensus implies for Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc. stock - 2025 Investor Takeaways Low Volatility Stock Recommendations - Newser
12/04/2025
3
Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Shares Down 1.4 percent - Whats Next - MarketBeat
12/16/2025
4
How Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc. stock responds to policy changes - July 2025 Price Swings Smart Money Movement Tracker - ulpravda.ru
01/08/2026
5
Investment Review Does Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc have a sustainable dividend - Gap Down Stock Portfolio Risk Management - baoquankhu1.vn
01/21/2026
6
Angel Oak Mortgage REIT On Hold Again Although Loan Growth Is Respectable - Seeking Alpha
01/28/2026
7
Disposition of 595000 shares by Davidson Kempner Capital Management Lp of Angel Oak at 9.75 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/02/2026
8
Angel Oak Mortgage declares 0.32 dividend
02/05/2026
9
ANGEL OAK MORTGAGE REIT INC 9.75 percent NTS DUE 01062030 USD25 To Go Ex-Dividend On February 13th, 2026 With 0.60938 USD Dividend Per Share -
02/12/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow44.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities120.8 M

Angel Oak Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  849.00  in Angel Oak Mortgage on November 27, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (15.00) from holding Angel Oak Mortgage or give up 1.77% of portfolio value over 90 days. Angel Oak Mortgage is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.1717% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 10% of stocks are less volatile than Angel, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Angel Oak is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.53 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Angel Oak Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Angel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 8.29 90 days 8.29 
about 84.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Angel Oak to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 84.13 (This Angel Oak Mortgage probability density function shows the probability of Angel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Angel Oak has a beta of 0.8. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Angel Oak average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Angel Oak Mortgage will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Angel Oak Mortgage has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Angel Oak Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Angel Oak

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Angel Oak Mortgage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.178.349.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.5110.0111.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.288.459.62
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.5111.5512.82
Details

Angel Oak Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Angel Oak is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Angel Oak's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Angel Oak Mortgage, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Angel Oak within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.80
σ
Overall volatility
0.22
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Angel Oak Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Angel Oak for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Angel Oak Mortgage can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Angel Oak Mortgage generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Angel Oak Mortgage currently holds about 29.08 M in cash with (221.43 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.17.
Roughly 75.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: ANGEL OAK MORTGAGE REIT INC 9.75 percent NTS DUE 01062030 USD25 To Go Ex-Dividend On February 13th, 2026 With 0.60938 USD Dividend Per Share -

Angel Oak Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Angel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Angel Oak's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Angel Oak's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding24.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments40.8 M

Angel Oak Fundamentals Growth

Angel Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Angel Oak, and Angel Oak fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Angel Stock performance.

About Angel Oak Performance

Assessing Angel Oak's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Angel Oak's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Angel Oak is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand(3.70)(3.88)
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.12  0.11 

Things to note about Angel Oak Mortgage performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Angel Oak for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Angel Oak Mortgage help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Angel Oak Mortgage generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Angel Oak Mortgage currently holds about 29.08 M in cash with (221.43 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.17.
Roughly 75.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: ANGEL OAK MORTGAGE REIT INC 9.75 percent NTS DUE 01062030 USD25 To Go Ex-Dividend On February 13th, 2026 With 0.60938 USD Dividend Per Share -
Evaluating Angel Oak's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Angel Oak's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Angel Oak's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Angel Oak's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Angel Oak's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Angel Oak's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Angel Oak's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Angel Oak's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Angel Oak's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Angel Oak's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Angel Oak's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Angel Stock Analysis

When running Angel Oak's price analysis, check to measure Angel Oak's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Angel Oak is operating at the current time. Most of Angel Oak's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Angel Oak's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Angel Oak's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Angel Oak to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.